Market Wrap: Investors Take Cover as Ukraine Tensions Flare

Posted by blogekiyai on Saturday, August 23, 2014

RUSSIA-UKRAINE-CRISIS-POLITICSDmitry Serebryakov/AFP/Getty ImagesTrucks from the Russian humanitarian co! nvoy, parked near a checkpoint at the Ukrainian border. Ukrainian authorities fear the convoy may be used to smuggle in arms to the pro-Kremlin insurgents. By KEN SWEET
NEW YORK -- The stock market paused Friday, following four days of gains, after a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen left investors unsure about how the nation's most important financial voice feels about raising interest rates in the coming months.

A flare-up in tensions between Ukraine and Russia also weighed on the market after a Russian convoy entered the country, purportedly to bring aid supplies.

It was a quiet day overall. Stocks moved between small gains and losses, then settled modestly lower in the last couple of hours. Trading was slow, as it has been all week, as the summer winds down and with many investors on vacation. It was the second-quietest day of the year for trading on the New York Stock Exchange.

The Dow Jones industrial average (^DJI) fell 38.27 points, or 0.2 percent, to 17,001.22. The Standard & Poor's 500 index (^GPSC) lost 3.97 points, or 0.2 percent, to 1,988.40, but the Nasdaq composite (^IXIC) added 6.45 points, or 0.1 percent, to 4,538.55.

Even with Friday's modest losses, it was a strong week for the stock market. The S&P 500 rose 1.7 percent for the week, its best five-day performance since April.

The Fed dominated investors' agendas this week. On Friday, Yellen addressed an annual conference of central bankers and other policymakers from around the globe at the Fed's annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

In her speech, which focused on labor markets, Yellen said the Great Recession complicated the Fed's ability to assess the U.S. job market and made it harder to determine when to adjust interest rates. Yellen offered no signal that she had altered her view that the economy still needs support from the Fed in the form of ultra-low interest rates.

"I think this was business as usual for Yellen. She was measured and deliberate and the market had a minimal reaction to it," said Michael Fredericks, portfolio manager of Blackrock's Multi-Asset Income Fund, which has $8.8 billion in assets.

The timing of a Fed rate increase remains unclear; however most investors expect the first one to come sometime in 2015. Yellen's s! peech comes two days after a report from the Fed seemed to show a growing chorus of policymakers wanting to raise interest rates.

"The uncertainty that policymakers feel on numerous fronts was evident in Yellen's speech," John Hoff, a fixed income strategist at RBS, wrote in a note to investors.

The Fed has kept its benchmark short-term interest rate, known as the Federal Funds Rate, near zero since late 2008 in order to simulate economic activity and demand. The downside to low interest rates is the possibility that they can lead to inflation.

The Federal Funds Rate helps determine interest rates on a variety of financial products including mortgages and credit cards, as well as the yields that bonds pay. Many investors believe the U.S. economy has recovered enough from the depths of the financial crisis to warrant higher interest rates.
The Fed has been winding down another economic stimulus program, large-scale purchases of bonds in the open market,! since December.

Investors also had geopolitical tension! s to contend with.

A Russian convoy entered Ukraine, defying the government there. Ukraine called the move a "direct invasion" intended to provoke an international incident. The action drew condemnation from the European Union, the United States and NATO. The trucks are purportedly carrying aid to residents in rebel-held zones where separatists are fighting with the Ukrainian government.

The Russia-Ukraine tensions have been a headache for investors for months now. Russia is Europe's biggest supplier of energy and is a major trade partner for the continent. The European Union has placed sanctions on Russia, which has lowered the amount of trade between Russia and the eurozone's countries.

U.S. government bond prices were little changed, a sign that investors were hesitant to make any large bets after Yellen's speech. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note edged down to 2.40 percent.
Benchmark U.S. crude oil fell 31 cents to $93.65 a barrel in New York.! In metals trading, gold rose $4.80 to $1,280.20 an ounce, silver fell three cents to $19.39 an ounce and copper rose three cents to $3.20 a pound.

In individual companies:

  • Dynegy (DYN) rose $2.60, or 9 percent, to $32.32 after the company announced it was buying $6.25 billion in power plants from Duke Energy and Energy Capital Partners. The deal would double Dynergy's power generation capabilities.
  • Gap (GPS) jumped $2.25, or 5 percent, to $45.43. Gap said its profits rose 10 percent in the second quarter, helped by lower expenses and higher sales. The company also said it plans to expand in India.
  • Another clothing chain, Aeropostale (ARO), was not as fortunate. The company reported a loss for the quarter and cut its full-year sales outlook. Aeropostale plunged 39 cents, or 10 percent, to $3.52.

What to Watch Monday:
  • The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago releases its gauge of national economic activity and inflation for July at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time.
  • The National Association of Home Builders reports new home sales for July at 10 a.m.
  • The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas releases its survey of manufacturing conditions in Texas at 10:30 a.m. Eastern time.
  • For many employers, open enrollment season for some benefits happens in October. This usually sneaks up on some people, who scramble to decipher benefits and make elections last minute. Although you won't be able to see the options until the enrollment period opens, take time now to review your benefits. Are you taking advantage of any 401(k) matches? Are your fully funding your Flexible Spending Account? What about employer offered life and disability insurance? (A fun infographic from the Council for Disability Awareness shows your risks). Maximize your benefits and don't leave any money on the table.
    ​1. Make the right choices at open enrollment
  • Back-to-school time can be expensive if you're not prepared. Money is spent on clothes, books, supplies and technology -- and that's before the doors to the classroom have even opened. Before hitting the stores, do these two things:
    • Conduct an online search for "coupon code" along with the name of any store you'll be shopping at. Typically you can find some great online deals.
    • Get a list from you class or teacher of specific type of notebook, calculator, etc. required. If you can't get child's "must haves" from ahead of time, buy just the bare minimums until school starts and the list is available.
    2. Spend wisely on back-to-school items
  • It's hard to think about the holidays when we're just making it through summer, but now is the time to build up a financial cushion. Set yourself up with an automatic transfer to a separate savings account and participate in the Holiday Fund Money Challenge to build up a savings of $450. How much do you need for the gifts, travel, parties, entertaining, food and other holiday activities you anticipate? Planning will help to ease the stress that comes around the holidays.
    ​3. Plan for the end-of-year holidays
  • In lieu of scrambling at the end of the year to make contributions to retirement accounts by Dec. 31, double-check your contributions now and determine if there's room in your cash flow to allow for an increase to possibly max out by year end.
    ​4. Maximize your retirement funding
  • Summer is a typically a time of transitions. There are weddings, moves to new homes, possibly a new family addition and more. If summer is the time when these events take place, fall should be the time to take stock of how they're panning out. If you're recently married and haven't already, now is the time to have the money talk with your spouse and make decisions about spending plans, merging (or not merging) accounts, beneficiary updates and more. If you've moved, check out how the new location has affected your cost of living spending in terms of activities, gas costs, groceries and more. Ultimately with any transition, you need to review your spending plan and determine what areas (if any) need to be adjusted.
    5. Consider your transitions
  • If you're lucky enough to live in one of the states that actually experiences seasons, fall is the time to prep for energy savings by caulking and weatherstripping doors and windows, turning your thermostat back for a fixed period each day and insulating your attic, basement or outside walls.
    6. Weatherproof your home
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Source : http://www.dailyfinance.com/2014/08/22/market-wrap-investors-take-cover-as-ukraine-tensions-flare/