Market Wrap: Wall Street Caps Wild Month with New Records

Posted by blogekiyai on Friday, October 31, 2014

Bank of Japan Nihonbashi Tokyo JapanBSTAR Images/AlamyFriday's U.S. stock gains were driven by the Bank of Japan, which surprised investors by announcing it would significantly boost its bond and asset purchases to stimulate Japan's economy. By KEN SWEET

NEW YORK (AP) - For stock investors, there was no shortage of drama in October.

Stocks started the month modestly below a record high, only to cascade to their worst slump in two years. But after flirting with a correction, or a 10 percent drop, the U.S. market rebounded and closed at all-time highs on the last day of the m! onth.

All told, U.S. stocks ended October solidly higher, up 2.3 percent. The Dow Jones industrial average (^DJI) capped the rally by rising 195.10 points, or 1.1 percent, to end at 17,390.52 on Friday. The Standard & Poor's 500 (^GPSC) rose 23.40 points, or 1.2 percent, to 2,018.05 and the Nasdaq composite (^IXIC) added 64.60 points, or 1.4 percent, to 4,630.74.

Both the Dow and the S&P 500 closed at record highs.

It's a remarkable turn given the month's volatility, which at times approached levels from the 2008 financial crisis. Then again, the month has an unfortunate history for unsettling moves, with the stock market crashes of 1929 and 1987 both happening in October.

This October, the market's seesaw path was driven by fears that Europe's economy was slipping back into a recession, worries about plunging oil prices and concerns of possible weakness in the U.S. economy. Oh, and don't forget Ebola. Those anxieties sent the market, for the most pa! rt, straight down for two weeks.

The nadir came on Oct. ! 15, when the S&P 500 came with a hair's breadth of going into a correction. Investors had expected such a drop. The last one occurred in late 2011, and historically corrections happen every 18 months or so.

But just after the market came close to going into a correction, it bounced right back. Strong U.S. corporate earnings were the primary driver of the rebound as well as signs that central banks in Japan and Europe were going to do all they could to stop their economies from dragging everyone else down with them.

"I don't think it's a surprise that we came close to a correction. We've been expecting one for a while. I think the bigger surprise has been how we rip-roared all the way back up," said Bob Doll, chief equity strategist at Nuveen Asset Management. "When you hit someone over their head with a hammer, you don't expect them to get up immediately."

U.S. companies have been, for the most part, reporting strong quarterly results the last two weeks. C! orporate profits are up 7.3 percent from a year ago, according to FactSet, compared with the 4.5 percent investors had expected at the beginning of the month. And any worries about the U.S. economy earlier in the month evaporated as the data rolled in, mostly recently Thursday's data showing the U.S. economy grew at a 3.5 percent pace last quarter.

Friday's gains were driven by the Bank of Japan, which surprised investors by announcing it would increase its bond and asset purchases by 10 trillion yen to 20 trillion yen ($90.7 billion to $181.3 billion) to about 80 trillion yen ($725 billion) annually. The announcement came after data showed that the world's third-largest economy remains in the doldrums, with household spending dropping and unemployment ticking up.

Japan's move comes only two days after the U.S. Federal Reserve brought an end to its own bond-buying program. Investors have been hopeful that the European Central Bank might also start buying bonds t! o stimulate that region's economy by keeping interest rates low and inj! ecting cash into the financial system. That form of stimulus is called quantitative easing, also known among investors as "QE."

"The Japanese central bank has taken the QE baton from the Fed, and equity traders couldn't be happier," said David Madden, market analyst at IG.

Japan's stock market rose 4.8 percent to the highest level since 2007.

The Japanese currency weakened dramatically following the Bank of Japan's announcement. The yen slumped 2.6 percent against the dollar to 112 yen. The yen is trading at the lowest level in more than five years. Japanese companies typically like a weak Japanese yen because it makes their exported goods cheaper abroad.

European stock markets rose broadly following the Bank of Japan's announcement on hopes that the ECB could be tempted to follow Japan's lead in stepping up stimulus measures. However, few think anything will be announced at the ECB's next policy meeting next Thursday.

"The willingness of the B! ank of Japan to ease further in the fight against deflation will encourage those who think the ECB should be doing the same," said Julian Jessop, chief global economist at Capital Economics.

Britain's FTSE 100 rose 1.3 percent. France's CAC 40 jumped 2.2 percent and Germany's DAX climbed 2.3 percent.

In other markets, the price of U.S. benchmark crude oil fell 58 cents to $80.54 a barrel in New York as increasing production from OPEC members added to already high global supplies of oil.

Brent crude, used to price oil in international markets, dipped 38 cents to $85.86 in London. In other energy futures trading on the NYMEX, wholesale gasoline fell 2.6 cents to close at $2.169 a gallon, heating oil fell was flat at $2.515 a gallon and natural gas rose 4.6 cents to close at $3.873 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Bond prices fell. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note rose to 2.34 percent from 2.31 percent Thursday.

In metals trading, the price of gol! d fell $27 to $1,171.60 an ounce. Silver fell 31 cents to $16.11 an oun! ce and copper fell 2 cents to $3.05 a pound.
What to watch Monday:

  • At 10 a.m. Eastern time, the Institute for Supply Management releases its manufacturing index for October, and the Commerce Department reports construction spending for September.
These major companies are scheduled to release quarterly financial results:
  • American International Group (AIG)
  • Church & Dwight (CHD)
  • CNA Financial (CNA)
  • Community Health Systems (CYH)
  • Corrections Corp. of America (CXW)
  • Frontier Communications (FTR)
  • Herbalife (HLF)
  • HSBC Holdings (HSBC)
  • Loews (L)
  • Marathon Oil (MRO)
  • Ryanair Holdings (RYAAY)
  • Sprint (S)
  • Sysco (SYY)
  • Tenet Healthcare (THC)
  • Vornado Realty Trust (VNO)
  • Is your water bill due quarterly? Figure out how much you need to save each month to have enough to pay for the bill when it comes, and put that amount aside each month so you'll be prepared. Do the same for any bills due regularly but not monthly.
    1. Quarterly and other non-monthly bills
  • Bills you only have to pay once a year can be even harder to remember, so be sure to note things like property taxes, auto registration fees and insurance premiums and budget for them as well.
    2. Annual bills
  • Annual subscriptions and memberships regularly trip up people's budgets. Be sure to set aside money each month for things like:
    • Newspaper and magazine subscriptions.
    • Gym memberships.
    • Warehouse club memberships.
    • Union dues.
    • Road service membership fees.
    3. Subscriptions and memberships
  • Other expenses don't happen on a regular basis, but you can still predict the need to pay for them over the course of the year. Chief among these are repair and maintenance expenses, with the biggest ones being car-related costs (oil changes, inspections, new brakes or tires, etc.) and home costs (leaky faucets, spring-time yard work, etc.).
    4. Routine repairs and maintenance
  • Some home repairs go beyond the scope of "routine" and require a significant amount of money in reserve. These can include replacing your roof, installing new windows or doing a major home renovation. You can anticipate the need for most of these repairs before you have to make them, so be sure to start budgeting for them in advance.
    5. Major home repairs
  • You also need to repair and maintain your body, so factor in medical costs like annual physicals, eye exams and dental checkups, as well as co-pays and prescriptions costs if you have any ongoing conditions.
    6. Medical expenses
  • If you plan to purchase any large items in the foreseeable future, from appliances to a new car, make sure you're putting aside enough each month to pay for them in cash. It's always best to pay for big-ticket items upfront rather than finance them (unless you can get a fantastic discount by financing and can pay the balance in full before any interest kicks in).
    7. Big-ticket items
  • From birthdays to holidays, there are plenty of special occasions each year to budget for. Make sure to include:
    • Birthday gifts.
    • Holiday gifts.
    • Anniversary gifts.
    • Party hosting costs.
    • Dinner costs if you take someone out to celebrate.
    • Wedding expenses (gifts, travel, hotel stays, etc.).
    8. Gifts and special occasions
  • Your four-legged family members also need to be part of your budget. Pet care costs to consider include:
    • Food and treats.
    • Toys.
    • Vet bills and medications.
    • Grooming.
    • Boarding or pet sitting.
    9. Pet care
  • Do you take an annual vacation? Travel twice a year to visit family for the holidays? Set aside money each month for any travel-related costs such as airfare, hotels, meals, rental cars and souvenirs.
    10. Travel
  • Whether you run a business or simply a household, there are certain expenses you may need to plan for in the business category. These can include:
    • Tax preparation fees and tax payments.
    • Conferences.
    • Trips.
    • Continuing education.
    • Dues for professional organizations.
    11. Business expenses
  • Whether you give annually to a charity of your choice or like to have some money set aside for your friends' and family's fundraisers, make sure to allocate enough each month to cover these donations
    12. Charitable donations
  • A good budget allows for a little "free" spending money you can do with as you please. It can be $20 a month for fancy coffee at your favorite coffee shop or $100 a month to feed your favorite hobby. The amount doesn't matter so much as the fact that you're allowing yourself a little guilt-free fun to keep your budget from feeling too restrictive.
    13. Fun money
  • Depending on your lifestyle, your eating out and entertainment budget could be a little or a lot. Whether you prefer to have dinner out once a weekend or see a movie every few weeks, figure out how much you'd ideally like to have and then examine any budget categories you can tweak to make room for it. If you realize you need to cut back on your habits a little to save money, that's fine too-at least you're aware of it now so you can act accordingly.
    14. Eating out and entertainment
  • Even if you're not a clothes horse, chances are there are certain items you'll need to purchase throughout the year. These can include:
    • Updated work clothes.
    • A new coat, hat and other accessories come winter.
    • A new bathing suit for the summer.
    • New shoes as yours wear out.
    • Back-to-school clothes for your kids.
    Calculate your annual spending on all clothing and accessories and divide that amount by 12 to determine how much you should be putting aside each month.
    15. Clothing
  • More from Paula Pant:

Source : http://www.dailyfinance.com/2014/10/31/market-wrap-wall-street-wild-month-new-records-dow-sandp/